This paper presents an empirical approach that combines competing paradigms of modeling in empirical capital market research. The approach simultaneously estimates the explanatory power of fundamentals, expectations, and historic yield patterns, making it possible to test the extent to which the...

This paper presents an empirical approach that combines competing paradigms of mod-eling in empirical capital market research. The approach simultaneously estimates the explanatory power of fundamentals, expectations, and historic yield patterns, making it possible to test the extent to which...

In this paper, we assess the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts at the regional level using a large data set at quarterly frequency. We forecast gross domestic product (GDP) for two German states (Free State of Saxony and Baden- Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a...

We analyze market order arrivals on the intraday market for hourly electricity deliveries in Germany. As we distinguish between buys and sells, we work in a multivariate setting. We model the arrivals with a Hawkes process with exponentially increasing baseline intensity and exponentially...

An explication of the key ideas behind the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression Approach. The CVAR approach is related to Haavelmo's famous quot;Probability Approach in Econometricsquot; (1944). It insists on careful stochastic specification as a necessary groundwork for econometric inference and...

This paper takes both a conceptual and an empirical approach to answer the question of how CSR can be connected to the company’s role as an agent of social value creation that operates within an imperfect institutional framework of market competition. To develop a functional design for an...