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of sectoral labor input and total factor productivity trend growth variation on the persistent decline in long-run output …-term decline. Zooming into the reunification period, we find a pronounced decline of total factor productivity growth in …
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We apply a relatively novel leading–lagging (LL) method to four leading and one lagging indexes for industrial production (IP) in Germany. We obtain three sets of results. First, we show that the sentiment-based ifo index performs best in predicting the general changes in IP (−0.596, range...
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