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Predicting birth-rates through German micro-census data : a comparison of probit and Boolean regression
Hufnagel, Rainer (contributor) - 2008
Boolean Regression. The data forming the basis for this investigation are from the German Micro-census waves of 1996 2002 and … comprise about 400 000 observations. Boolean Regression is used to predict how birth events depend on the socio …-economic characteristics of women and their male partners. Boolean Regression is compared to Probit. The data set is split into two halves in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003729733
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A principal component simulation of age-specific fertility : impacts of family and social policy on reproductive behavior in Germany
Vanella, Patrizio; Deschermeier, Philipp - 2018
This contribution proposes a simulation approach for the indirect estimation of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and the total fertility rate (TFR) for Germany via time series modeling of the principal components of the ASFRs. The model accounts for cross-correlation and autocorrelation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860247
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Family background variables as instruments for education in income regressions : a Bayesian analysis
Hoogerheide, Lennart; Block, Jörn; Thurik, Adriaan R. - 2010 - Current version: July 2010
The validity of family background variables instrumenting education in income regressions has been much criticized. In this paper, we use data of the 2004 German Socio-Economic Panel and Bayesian analysis in order to analyze to what degree violations of the strong validity assumption affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381026
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Marketing response models for shrinking beer sales in Germany
Polasek, Wolfgang - 2012
demand factors jointly in a log-linear regression model that are correlated over time. The estimated model can explain the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684800
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Children and Women's Participation Dynamics : Transitory and Long-Term Effects
Voicu, Alexandru; Buddelmeyer, Hielke - 2021
Children affect the after-birth labor force participation of women in two ways. Directly, the time spent in child-care reduces the labor market effort. The time spent out of the labor market while on maternity leave alters women's participation experience and, thus, indirectly affects subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320019
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Family Background Variables as Instruments for Education in Income Regressions : A Bayesian Analysis
Hoogerheide, Lennart F.; Block, Jorn H.; Thurik, Roy - 2013
The validity of family background variables instrumenting education in income regressions has been much criticized. In this paper, we use data from the 2004 German Socio-Economic Panel and Bayesian analysis to analyze to what degree violations of the strict validity assumption affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014192450
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The total fertility rate in Germany until 2040 : a stochastic principal components projection based on age-specific fertility rates
Vanella, Patrizio - 2016
Demographic change is one of the greatest challenges faced by Germany as well as a large part of Europe today. One of the main drivers of this change is the low fertility level, often referred to as the Total Fertility Rate (TFR), since the early 1970s. Therefore, on the one hand, while the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011527282
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Exploring the Puzzle of Human Reproduction : Register Data based Evidence from France and Germany
Lipowski, Cäcilia - 2020
Birth rates differ strongly across European states, despite the deep economic harmonisation process related to European integration. This study uses large scale administrative data from France and Germany to analyse and directly compare fertility patterns in two major European economies over a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832297
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The Demographic Dilemma : Fertility, Female Labor Force Participation and Future Growth in Germany 2007-2060
Dudel, Christian - 2009
The aim of this paper is to show possible consequences of changes in labor force participation of women and the connection between fertility and labor force participation on the future demographic and economic development in Germany. For this purpose a projection model based on micro-data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012718755
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Mass weddings, baby boom and full employment? : Nazi Germany's 1933 marriage loan and its efficacy in theory and practice
Somcutean, Cristina - In: Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftsgeschichte 63 (2022) 1, pp. 267-301
In 1933, the German government introduced the marriage loan for newlyweds, a policy aimed at increasing marriages and births as well as male employment, which entailed a work ban for the wife and sizeable credit deductions for children. This paper illustrates that the policy was rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262952