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Die Mietpreisbremse ist das zentrale wohnungsmarktpolitische Projekt der vergangenen Jahre. Umso größer war die Ernüchterung, als erste empirische Studien – auch des DIW Berlin – darauf hindeuteten, dass die Mietpreisbremse den Anstieg der Mieten insgesamt nicht spürbar verlangsamt....
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Ten years after the worldwide financial and economic crisis was triggered by the American real estate market, real estate prices are rising around the globe. Concerns about a new housing bubble are growing. The present report based on OECD data for 20 countries demonstrates that this concern is...
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After a period of stagnation that lasted for almost two decades, German house prices began to grow at an accelerated pace since late 2010. Real house prices that even had been declining in 2000-2008 started to climb up steeply from the second half of 2010, followed by a recovery of construction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011318013
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 145 indicators and ten types of forecast combination schemes to predict housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. We are interested in whether local business confidence indicators facilitate substantial improvements of the forecasts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482020
The surge in the German house prices starting in 2010 raised fears about the emergence of a speculative bubble. Given a local nature of housing markets, it is not clear to what extent the bubble, if any, is spread across different cities. In this paper, we test for speculative house price...
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The paper evaluates the quality of the German national accounting data (GDP and its use-side components) as measured by the magnitude and dispersion of the forecast/revision errors. It is demonstrated that government consumption series are the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003799732