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Sources of euro real exchange rate fluctuations : what is behind the euro weakness in 1999-2000?
Döpke, Jörg; Gottschalk, Jan; Kamps, Christophe - 2001
This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by Clarida and Gali (1994) is used. Within this model, three structural shocks drive the dynamics of the endogenous variables: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473872
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Effects of Oil Price Shocks on German Business Cycles
Schmidt, Torsten; Zimmermann, Tobias - 2005
In this paper we analyse to what extent movements in oil prices can help to explain business cycle fluctuations in Germany. We proceed in several steps: As a starting point we use a standard real business cycle model for the German economy and introduce energy as an additional factor in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014027648
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Allowing the Data to Speak Freely : The Macroeconometrics of the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression
Hoover, Kevin D. - 2008
An explication of the key ideas behind the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression Approach. The CVAR approach is related to Haavelmo's famous quot;Probability Approach in Econometricsquot; (1944). It insists on careful stochastic specification as a necessary groundwork for econometric inference and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726093
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The cross-section of firms over the business cycle : new facts and a DSGE exploration
Bachmann, Ruediger; Bayer, Christian - 2009
Using a German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888063
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The cross-section of firms over the business cycle : new facts and a DSGE exploration
Bachmann, Ruediger; Bayer, Christian - 2009
Using a unique German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857682
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Sudden stop : supply and demand shocks in the German natural gas market
Güntner, Jochen; Reif, Magnus; Wolters, Maik H. - 2024
We propose a structural vector-autoregressive model for the German natural gas market to investigate the impact of the 2022 Russian supply stop on the German economy. We combine conventional and narrative sign restrictions to leverage information about supply cuts for identification and find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560154
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Sudden stop : supply and demand shocks in the German natural gas market
Güntner, Jochen; Reif, Magnus; Wolters, Maik H. - 2024
We use a structural VAR model to study the German natural gas market and investigate the impact of the 2022 Russian supply stop on the German economy. Combining conventional and narrative sign restrictions, we find that gas supply and demand shocks have large and persistent price effects, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560234
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Can price controls be optimal? : the economics of the energy shocks in Germany
Krebs, Tom; Weber, Isabella - 2024
argue that the German government handled the immediate response to the energy shock well, but subsequently waited too long … controls as an optimal policy response to an energy shock within a general equilibrium framework. We develop a simple … generate endogenous price uncertainty in the wake of an energy shock. We also link our analysis to the so-called sunspot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529395
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Can price controls be optimal? : the economics of the energy shock in Germany
Krebs, Tom; Weber, Isabella - 2024
argue that the German government handled the immediate response to the energy shock well, but subsequently waited too long … controls as an optimal policy response to an energy shock within a general equilibrium framework. We develop a simple … generate endogenous price uncertainty in the wake of an energy shock. We also link our analysis to the so-called sunspot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502430
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Can price controls be optimal? : the economics of the energy shock in Germany
Krebs, Tom; Weber, Isabella - 2024
argue that the German government handled the immediate response to the energy shock well, but subsequently waited too long … controls as an optimal policy response to an energy shock within a general equilibrium framework. We develop a simple … generate endogenous price uncertainty in the wake of an energy shock. We also link our analysis to the so-called sunspot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014545082