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relationships are found and identified as export supply and demand. Overidentifying restrictions derived from economic theory are … effect of globalization is often neglected leading to implausibly high income elasticities. This paper models export demand … vector error correction model is the appropriate econometric framework. Using the Johansen procedure, two cointegration …
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low price elasticities. Furthermore, estimation results strongly depend on the observation period. Minor variations in the … estimation period typically lead to insignificant price terms often displaying the wrong sign. Based on an extensive econometric …. We find that imports, exports, investment, and a relative import price form highly stable cointegration relationships …
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This paper analyzes the determinants of German exports to the euro area, which is by far the biggest market for German products. Four conditional error-correction models based on regionally disaggregated data are developed. One specification includes EMU industrial production and a real external...
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predicted export growth. Moreover, taking into account quantity and price effects caused by changes in the real exchange rate … the real exchange rate is the indicator to focus on in explaining German export success. …
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