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The impact of fiscal policy on economic activity over the business cycle : evidence from a threshold VAR analysis
Baum, Anja; Koester, Gerrit B. - 2011
Does the state of the business cycle matter for the effects of fiscal policy shocks on GDP? This study analyses quarterly German data from 1976 to 2009 in a threshold SVAR, expanding the SVAR approach by Blanchard and Perotti (2002). In a linear benchmark SVAR, the analysis finds that hiking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008936115
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The case for a job guarantee policy in Germany : a political-economic analysis of the potential benefits and obstacles
Landwehr, Jannik J. - 2020
As a bottom-up approach, a Job Guarantee policy can tackle the issue of unemployment on the macroeconomic, socioeconomic, and individual level in a unique way and promote the social inclusion of the unemployed. This paper aims at analysing the potential obstacles - namely inflationary pressure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301007
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Behebung eines Webfehlers : wie die Konjunkturkomponente demokratisch legitimiert und nachhaltiger werden könnte
Schuster, Florian; Sigl-Glöckner, Philippa - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 102 (2022) 11, pp. 826-829
The optimisation of the cyclical adjustment procedure under the German debt brake should focus on how to contribute to a democratically legitimate and sustainable fiscal policy. In this article, we discuss four criteria that should be satisfied: The method must (i) be sufficiently determined,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455734
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Inflexibilität des Arbeitsmarktes oder falsche makroökonomische Politik für deutsche Wachstumsschwäche und Arbeitslosigkeit verantwortlich?
Niemeier, Ernst - In: Labor markets and labor market policies between …, (pp. 243-267). 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008860439
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Makroökonomie : Blind Spot Gender : Erweiterung makroökonomischer Indikatoren durch eine Gender-Komponente am Beispiel der empirischen Phillips-Kurve
Holst, Elke; Barth, Denise - 2019
Dieser Beitrag möchte einen Impuls zur stärkeren Berücksichtigung von Genderaspekten in makroökonomischen Modellen geben. Am Beispiel der Philipps-Kurve geht es um die Frage, ob sich das Erwerbsverhalten von Frauen und Männern so stark voneinander unterscheidet, dass sich dies im Verlauf...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012014418
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The economic transmission of fiscal policy shocks from Western to Eastern Europe
Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús; Eller, Markus; Mehrotra, Aaron - 2011
This paper studies the transmission of a foreign fiscal policy shock (assumed to be generated in Germany) to key macroeconomic variables in five Central and Eastern European economies (CEE-5). We use quarterly data from 1995 to 2009 and estimate an open economy structural vector autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148631
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The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Activity Over the Business Cycle - Evidence from a Threshold VAR Analysis
Baum, Anja - 2016
Does the state of the business cycle matter for the effects of fiscal policy shocks on GDP? This study analyses quarterly German data from 1976 to 2009 in a threshold SVAR, expanding the SVAR approach by Blanchard and Perotti (2002). In a linear benchmark SVAR, the analysis finds that hiking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991046
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A principal component simulation of age-specific fertility : impacts of family and social policy on reproductive behavior in Germany
Vanella, Patrizio; Deschermeier, Philipp - 2018
This contribution proposes a simulation approach for the indirect estimation of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and the total fertility rate (TFR) for Germany via time series modeling of the principal components of the ASFRs. The model accounts for cross-correlation and autocorrelation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860247
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NAIRU estimates for Germany : new evidence on the inflation-unemployment trade-off
Kajuth, Florian - 2010
The paper estimates the NAIRU from a Phillips curve relationship in the state-space framework. To identify the … economic relation on the basis of which the NAIRU is derived. -- Non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment ; state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657146
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The NAIRU and the extent of the low-pay sector
Garz, Marcel - 2010
unemployment (NAIRU) is used. In a first step, the unobservable, exogenous NAIRU is estimated for Germany in a state space setting … the low-pay sector. Finally, by treating the NAIRU as the dependent variable, the impact of the low-wage share is … relationship between the NAIRU and the share of the low-wage sector. This hypothesis is rejected empirically. Indeed, for the time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009306634