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method is based on the comparison of standard log-periodogram regression estimation of the memory parameter with its tapered … parameter under the null, and is therefore estimated by bootstrapping. The test is applied to inflation rates of three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509839
We investigate the relevance of the Carroll's sticky information model of inflation expectations for four major … European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). Using survey data on household and expert inflation … expectations we argue that the model adequately captures the dynamics of household inflation expectations. We estimate two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426367
professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426368
professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770725
aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm … explanatory variable for the inflation rate. Further, the skewness measure also helps to explain shifts in the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476471
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419361
below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 … find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936771
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
household and expert inflation expectations in five core European economies (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain … in high inflation countries are using higher best fitting constant gain parameters than those in low inflation countries … frequently than households. Furthermore, household expectations in the Euro Area have not converged to the inflation goal of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991141
This paper empirically compares sticky-price and sticky-information Phillips curves considering inflation dynamics in … moments of inflation. Under baseline calibrations, the two models perform similarly in almost all countries. Under estimated … unconditional moments of inflation dynamics better while sticky information is more successful in matching co-movement of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124276