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In 2009, Germany invested 15.4 Billion Euro in infrastructure to avert the looming recession. In this study, we evaluate whether the German stimulus program was successful in limiting the impact of the crisis on the job market. We exploit exogenous cross-sectional variation to identify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341046
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127160
linear benchmark SVAR, the analysis finds that hiking spending yields a short-term fiscal multiplier of around 0.70, while … the fiscal multiplier resulting from an increase in taxes and social security contributions is -0.66. In addition, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008936115
This paper investigates the effects of government spending on key macroeconomic variables in Germany. It contributes to the ongoing debate on how to properly identify exogenous fiscal shocks in the data and on whether or not the government should intervene in the business cycle. Following Ramey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011525541
restriction reduces the effectiveness of a temporary VAT reduction, we find a short-term multiplier of 1.8. However, the … cumulative multiplier reduces to below 1 over the medium term due to a shift in durable goods consumption toward 2020. Thus, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198950
find sizeable effects of VAT measures on consumption (esp. durables) with a multiplier larger than one on GDP and can match …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013341661
The purpose of this paper is to analyse whether fiscal policies can alleviate the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and if they should be coordinated internationally. The analysis is carried out using EAGLE, a DSGE model of the global economy. We consider that the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688538
by 5%, and even by 20% for liquidity-constrained households. The long-run present value multiplier of the package amounts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310308
The 'starving the beast' hypothesis claims that tax cuts lead to lower public spending, rather than higher debt levels and higher taxes in the future. This paper uses the institutional setting of German fiscal federalism to its advantage in order to explore how fiscal policy reacts to exogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157329
By applying a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) approach this paper estimates the effects of fiscal policy shocks of different government sub-sectors on aggregate GDP in Germany. From a general government perspective, the results show that besides investment, it is particularly changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897960