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In modeling expectation formation, economic agents are usually viewed as forming expectations adaptively or in …, we show that this kind of model performs well in simulation experiments. Focusing upon producers' expectations in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009447863
This study uses prices for the German 3 percent imperial loan issued in several tranches since 1890 and still traded during World War I to measure capital market players' real-time perceptions of the prospects for Germany as the war proceeded. Price data are gathered from the Amsterdam market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669402
and expectations and whether they are more constraining for students from socially less advantaged backgrounds. It does so … expectations and institutional data on admission barriers that vary by field of study. Findings indicate that the socially most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448512
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changing expectations about the evolution of the economic conditions in various countries. This paper addresses the first … expectations and current economic conditions at origin are significant determinants of migration, diversion effects account for 78 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344609
question analysed in this paper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations data instead of observable variables …. Therefore we analyse the implicit structural models forecasters have in mind when forming their exchange rate expectations. The … models using the categorical expectations data of the ZEW financial market survey. The expectation variables used to explain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442397
should intervene in the business cycle. Following Ramey (2011b), we include expectations held by consumers and firms into the … findings also underscore the need to account for expectations, as failing to do so leads to significant misinterpretation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011525541
question analysed in this apper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations instead of realised data. Therefore we … analyse the implicit structural models forecasters have in mind when forming their exchange rate expectations. Using expected … short- and long-term interest rates and business expectations as explanatory variables we estimate latent structural models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543374
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