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In this paper, we derive evidence on the integration of international stock markets from the cointegration properties … of international stock market prices. Using the multivariate cointegration test of Johansen, we find that the set of six … subgroup analyses also indicate that the cointegration relationships have become stronger over time. This is consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395829
As a function of strike and time to maturity the implied volatility estimation is a challenging task in financial … econometrics. Dynamic Semiparametric Factor Models (DSFM) are a model class that allows for the estimation of the implied … to cointegration. -- implied volatility surface ; dynamic semiparametric factor model ; VAR ; cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003828611
This paper considers the dynamics of spot and futures prices in the presence of arbitrage. A partially linear error correction model is proposed where the adjustment coefficient is allowed to depend non-linearly on the lagged price difference. The model is estimated using data on the DAX index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750074
In this paper we consider the dynamics of spot and futures prices in the presence of arbitrage. We propose a partially linear error correction model where the adjustment coefficient is allowed to depend non-linearly on the lagged price difference. We estimate our model using data on the DAX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003750067
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Models recently studied by Farmer (2012, 2013, 2015) predict that, due to labor-market frictions and "animal spirits", stock-market fluctuations should Granger cause fluctuations of the unemployment rate. We performed several Granger-causality tests on more than half a century of data of German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415821
equal when transaction prices are used for the estimation. Models based on quote midpoints indicate that the electronic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011540052
Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605