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We calibrate a closed multi-country input-output model with data from the World Input-Output Database to estimate the size of spillover effects of Germany's final demand on GDP, employment, and the trade balance in Southern European countries. We find that spillover effects are rather small....
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We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....
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In this paper, we analyze the volume of euro banknotes issued by Germany within the euro area with several seasonal … methods. We draw a distinction between movements within Germany, circulation outside Germany but within the euro area and … demand from non-euroarea countries. Our approach suggests that only about 20% of euro notes issued by Germany are used for …
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rates EUR/GRD and EUR/ITL during the euro zone membership period. Leaving the euro area one can expect the following market … rates: EUR/GRD 600 and EUR/ITL 1850. That would mean 75% depreciation and 5% appreciation to the current euro parities EUR …
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