A great proportion of stock dynamics can be explained using publicly available information. The relationship between dynamics and public information may be of nonlinear character. In this paper we offer an approach to stock picking by employing so-called decision trees and applying them to XETRA...

We propose a new nonlinear classification method based on a Bayesian "sum-of-trees" model, the Bayesian Additive Classification Tree (BACT), which extends the Bayesian Additive Regression Tree (BART) method into the classification context. Like BART, the BACT is a Bayesian nonparametric additive...

What determines the risk structure of financial portfolios of German households? In this paper we estimate the determinants of the share of financial wealth invested in three broad risk classes. We employ a new econometric approach - the so called fractional multinomial logit model - which...

How can investors unlock the returns on the electric vehicle industry? Available investment choices range from individual stocks to exchange traded funds. We select six representative assets and characterize the time-varying joint distribution of their returns by copula-GARCH models. They...

Overall, 72 subjects invest their endowment in four risky assets. Each com-bination of assets yields the same expected return and variance of returns. Illusion of expertise prevails when one prefers nevertheless the self-selected portfolio. After being randomly assigned to groups of four...

Using a unique data set on German banks' sector specific loan exposures to the real economy and the corresponding write-offs and write-downs, we examine the impact of loan portfolio sector concentration on credit risk. By controlling for common risk factors, we separate the bank-specific...

The paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the latest German corporate income and capital tax reform, which entails a major shift of the capital tax burden from the firm to the household level. Using a dynamic two-country computable general equilibrium model with integrated capital...

Our research project analyses the suitability of social responsible investments (SRI) and alternative asset classes (in particular commodities, hedge fund in-vestments, high-yield bonds) for the portfolio management of German Pension Insurance Funds (Pensionskassen), the largest external...

Political restraints and proceeding effects of global warming cause the need for a change in electricity generation in Europe and its member states. As a consequence, German utilities face uncertainties of different types than in the past. Traditional investment valuation approaches are not able...

The approach shows the scientific background of eliminating the market risk of an optimized portfolio and the use of marginal probabilities of ruin for optimized amounts of investments.For this reason the mathematical expectations of the parameters of the market model in the portfolio result to...