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even by 20% for liquidity-constrainedhouseholds. The long-run present value multiplier of the package amounts to 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671256
In 2009, Germany invested 15.4 Billion Euro in infrastructure to avert the looming recession. In this study, we evaluate whether the German stimulus program was successful in limiting the impact of the crisis on the job market. We exploit exogenous cross-sectional variation to identify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341046
We present the estimated large-scale three-region DSGE model GEAR picturing Germany, the Euro Area and the Rest of the world. Compared to existing models of this type, GEAR incorporates a comprehensive fiscal block, involuntary unemployment and a complex international structure. We use the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516561
restriction reduces the effectiveness of a temporary VAT reduction, we find a short-term multiplier of 1.8. However, the … cumulative multiplier reduces to below 1 over the medium term due to a shift in durable goods consumption toward 2020. Thus, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198950
linear benchmark SVAR, the analysis finds that hiking spending yields a short-term fiscal multiplier of around 0.70, while … the fiscal multiplier resulting from an increase in taxes and social security contributions is -0.66. In addition, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008936115
linear benchmark SVAR, the analysis finds that hiking spending yields a short-term fiscal multiplier of around 0.70, while … the fiscal multiplier resulting from an increase in taxes and social security contributions is -0.66. In addition, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991046
find sizeable effects of VAT measures on consumption (esp. durables) with a multiplier larger than one on GDP and can match …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013341661
This paper studies the transmission of a foreign fiscal policy shock (assumed to be generated in Germany) to key macroeconomic variables in five Central and Eastern European economies (CEE-5). We use quarterly data from 1995 to 2009 and estimate an open economy structural vector autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123508
autoregressions, we document a significant crowding-in of private investment and an output multiplier of roughly 2. Then, we match a … New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to the empirical responses, and we decompose the multiplier … capacity in the medium run, and it generates demand effects along the production network. We find a similar multiplier in other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015207271
The purpose of this paper is to analyse whether fiscal policies can alleviate the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and if they should be coordinated internationally. The analysis is carried out using EAGLE, a DSGE model of the global economy. We consider that the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688538