Showing 1 - 10 of 15,722
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008903823
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003610017
Based on two hundred years of annual data of the Netherlands , Germany , US and Japan we analyse the mean reversion of long-term interest rates, by unit root tests over rolling windows and taking into account structural breaks and regime changes. While short-term rates and the yield curve tend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119069
Aufgrund der einzel- und gesamtwirtschaftlichen Relevanz von Zinsänderungen ist das Interesse an Zinsprognosen traditionell sehr groß. Dennoch finden sich in der wissenschaftlichen Literatur nur relativ wenige Studien, welche die Prognosegüte ökonometrischer Verfahren "out of sample"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402042
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001480762
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001660371
Regime-switching models are well suited to capture the non-linearities in interest rates. This paper examines the econometric performance of regime-switching models for interest rate data from the US, Germany and the UK. There is strong evidence supporting the presence of regime switches but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774902
Regime-switching models are well suited to capture the non-linearities in interest rates. This paper examines the econometric performance of regime-switching models for interest rate data from the US, Germany and the UK. There is strong evidence supporting the presence of regime switches but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472295
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247371
Using data from Germany, Japan, UK, and the U.S., we explore possible threshold cointegration in nominal short- and long-run interest rates with corresponding inflation rates. Traditional cointegration implies perfect mean reversion in real rates and hence confirms the Fisher hypothesis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725013