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We evaluate the informational content of news-based sentiment indicators for forecasting the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the five major European economies. The sentiment indicators that we construct are aspect-based, in the sense that we consider only the text that is related to a specific...
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In Europe differences among countries in the overall change in happiness since the early 1980s have been due chiefly to the generosity of welfare state programs - increasing happiness going with increasing generosity and declining happiness with declining generosity. This is the principal...
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Trägt die Schattenwirtschaft auch zum Wirtschaftswachstum bei ist eine häufig gestellte Fragen, die hier beleuchtet … werden soll. Das Wirtschaftswachstum wird üblicherweise anhand der Veränderungsrate des Bruttoinlandsproduktes gemessen … Bruttoinlandsprodukt näher beschrieben. Ausführungen zur Problematik einer getrennten Schätzung der Schattenwirtschaft runden den Beitrag …
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Using quarterly data for the Federal Republic of Germany, we generate four-quarter-ahead forecasts for real GDP growth. Throughout the seventies and eighties, real M1 is still the best predictor. It clearly outperforms interest rate-based forecasts, and within this group short-run interest rates...
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The paper presents an analysis of real income convergence between the 11 countries of Central Eastern Europe which have joined the European Union (EU11) and 15 countries of Western Europe (EU15) in the period 1993-2015. The evolution of the income gap between the two groups of countries in terms...
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