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Affine term structure models of bond yields are important tools for analyzing fixed income markets and monetary policy. Estimators of Adrian, Crump, and Mönch (2013) and Diez de Los Rios (2015) replace time-consuming nonlinear search procedures with a set of simple linear regressions. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320252
Using arbitrage-free affine models, we analyze the dynamics of German bond yields and risk premia for the period 1999 … macroeconomic factors allows us to analyze their effect on the risk aversion of market participants. Looking at the impact of the … recent crises, we see that particularly the market prices of risk for the real activity and the price factor changed most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009656194
sovereign safe assets and German government bonds adjusted for sovereign credit risk, liquidity and swap market frictions. A …, which is more pronounced for higher maturities and when risk aversion proxied by bond market volatility is high. Going …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858387
This study analyzes the relationship of individual risk attitudes and occupational sorting with respect to occupational … earnings risk. By using the German Mikrozensus, a precise measure for earnings risk is computed as the occupation-wide standard … deviation of wages. Following the procedure proposed by Bonin (2007), this earnings risk measure is used as dependent variable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969724
This study analyzes the relationship of individual risk attitudes and occupational sorting with respect to occupational … earnings risk. By using the German Mikrozensus, a precise measure for earnings risk is computed as the occupation-wide standard … deviation of wages. Following the procedure proposed by Bonin (2007), this earnings risk measure is used as dependent variable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142750
risk premia. The extent of this bias is substantial as verified by a bootstrap approach. We present an alternative … estimation equation for future expected one-period returns based on current and past implied rates of return that is superior to … simple estimators based on historical returns. The reason for this superiority is a lower variance of estimation results and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487229
We review the labor market implications of recent real-business-cycle models that successfully replicate the empirical equity premium. We document the fact that all models considered in this survey with the exception of Boldrin, Christiano, and Fisher (2001) imply a negative correlation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011127
Recent empirical evidence suggests that the variance risk premium predicts aggregate stock market returns. We ….K. result in quite similar patterns. Defining a “global” variance risk premium, we uncover even stronger predictability and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109053
One of the most noticeable stylized facts in finance is that stock index returns are negatively correlated with changes in volatility. The economic rationale for the effect is still controversial. The competing explanations have different implications for the origin of the relationship: Are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257347
Recent empirical evidence suggests that the variance risk premium predicts aggregate stock market returns. We ….K. result in quite similar patterns. Defining a “global” variance risk premium, we uncover even stronger predictability and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115149