Showing 1 - 10 of 11,308
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001782903
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419361
sharp rise in inflation. Applied to Germany and the euro area, the model suggests that the surge in inflation has mainly … been caused by commodity price shocks and supply bottlenecks, rather than shortages in the labour market. Inflation … future inflation rates. However, this prediction is based on the assumption that there will be no commodity price shocks and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014519212
Current HICP measurement practices produce an upward bias of about one-ninth of a percentage point in German inflation … consider this source of mismeasurement when assessing the precision of the HICP as a measure of "true" inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489562
This paper uses a panel VAR (PVAR) approach to estimating, analysing and forecasting price dynamics in four different sectors - industry, services, construction, and agriculture - across the four largest euro area economies - Germany, France, Italy and Spain - and the euro area as a whole. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411883
The use of large datasets for macroeconomic forecasting has received a great deal of interest recently. Boosting is one possible method of using high-dimensional data for this purpose. It is a stage-wise additive modelling procedure, which, in a linear specification, becomes a variable selection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721997
The use of large datasets for macroeconomic forecasting has received a great deal of interest recently. Boosting is one possible method of using high-dimensional data for this purpose. It is a stage-wise additive modelling procedure, which, in a linear specification, becomes a variable selection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085278
This paper empirically compares sticky-price and sticky-information Phillips curves considering inflation dynamics in … moments of inflation. Under baseline calibrations, the two models perform similarly in almost all countries. Under estimated … unconditional moments of inflation dynamics better while sticky information is more successful in matching co-movement of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124276
We investigate the relevance of the Carroll's sticky information model of inflation expectations for four major … European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). Using survey data on household and expert inflation … expectations we argue that the model adequately captures the dynamics of household inflation expectations. We estimate two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426367
inflation convergence using different approaches, namely panel unit root tests, cointegration tests and error-correction models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426361