We describe the challenges of forecasting earnings in a globally interconnected marketplace, and we document inefficient use of information regarding foreign country exposures and expected country GDP growth at the consensus and individual forecast levels. A country's proximity to the US,...

A principal-components analysis demonstrates that common earnings factors explain a substantial portion of rm-level earnings variation, implying earnings shocks have substantial systematic components and are not almost fully diversifiable as prior literature has concluded. Furthermore, the...

This working paper is the first draft of our co-authored publication, "An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers," Journal of Accounting Research 6, 1968, pp.159-78. While undated, it subsequently was presented at the November 1967 Seminar on the Analysis of Security Prices organized...