Im vorliegenden Gutachten werden auf Grundlage der Entscheidung des Bundesverfassungsgerichts zum Sportwettenmarkt vom 28. März 2006 vier Szenarien erstellt, in denen beschrieben wird, wie sich der deutsche Sportwettmarkt bis zum Jahr 2010 unter unterschiedlichen gesetzlichen Rahmenbedingungen...

This paper studies how national sentiment in the form of either a perception or a loyalty bias of bettors may affect pricing patterns on national wagering markets for international sport events. We show theoretically that both biases can be profitably exploited by bookmakers by way of price...

This paper studies how national sentiment in the form of either a perception or a loyalty bias of bettors may affect pricing patterns on national wagering markets for international sport events. We show theoretically that both biases can be profitably exploited by bookmakers by way of price...

Sport betting is in Germany, like other public lotteries, strictly regulated as a state monopoly. This state monopoly has been declared as an illegitimate fiscal monopoly by the German Supreme Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) in March 2006. Following this sentence, a state monopoly in future has...

The favorite-longshot bias describes the longstanding empirical regularity that betting odds provide biased estimates of the probability of a horse winning - longshots are overbet, while favorites are underbet. Neoclassical explanations of this phenomenon focus on rational gamblers who overbet...

We explore the relationship between gambling and other forms of risk-taking behaviour, i.e. exposure to debt and the use of credit, at the individual and household level using representative pooled cross-section data drawn from the UK Expenditure and Food Surveys (EFS), 2001 to 2007. Gambling...

Wir entwickeln ein Modell für strategisches Spielverhalten bei Glücksspielen nach dem Totalisatorprinzip und wenden es auf die Fußballwettspiele Toto und Torwette an. Unter der Annahme, dass Buchmacherquoten die wahren Ausgangswahrscheinlichkeiten der betreffenden Fußballspiele reflektieren,...

The favorite-longshot bias describes the longstanding empirical regularity that betting odds provide biased estimates of the probability of a horse winning - longshots are overbet, while favorites are underbet. Neoclassical explanations of this phenomenon focus on rational gamblers who overbet...

We present a new model analyzing the effect of uncertainty faced by bookmakers. It is shown that bettors with inside information or expert analysis decrease the odds set by profit maximizing bookmakers. Data on previously unraced two year old horses and those that have raced previously are used...

Many households have insufficient savings to handle moderate and routine consumption shocks. Many of these financially fragile households also have the highest lottery expenditures as a proportion of income. This combination suggests that Prize-Linked Savings (PLS) accounts, that combine...