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We explore the impact of momentum trading in the NFL betting market at the aggregate weekly level. Bettors prefer to bet on momentum rather than mean reversion in the totals market. The effect is strongest when they bet that the total points scored by both teams will be under the betting line...
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In this paper, I examine market inefficiencies in the NFL betting market from the 2003 season through the 2016 season. I examine the impact that division rivals and previously known determinants of inefficiencies have on the current NFL gambling market. The results show that games against...
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I employ a unique NFL gambling dataset to disentangle information asymmetry between bettors and sportsbooks. In contrast to expectations, I find no evidence that sportsbooks hold more information than the bettors. In fact, the results show that in instances where sportsbooks behave as if they...
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In this paper, I examine market efficiency in the National Football League betting market. In the point spread market, sportsbooks appear to underestimate the abilities of the home team as they are more likely to cover the spread when they are substantial underdogs and when the home team has not...
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