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We investigate dollar-sterling exchange rate expectations during the period 1890-1908. We show that the dollar faced a 'Peso problem' in that for much of the period financial markets expected it to depreciate against sterling, but this never in fact happened - i.e. expectations were persistently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014141012
, such as the ERM, this policy was not undermined by credibility problems. The episode provides an ideal testing ground for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440947
different methods to study the credibility of the detected fluctuation bands. The detected lack of credibility in a high … percentage of the sample is robust to the use of several credibility tests, suggesting that economic agents do not behave as if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890541
Exchange rate policy results not just from economic, but also from fundamentally political processes. This paper analyzes the propensity of policy makers to relax fixed exchange rate regimes by performing regular realignments. The argument is that when information is scarce as in transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155714
This paper studies the credibility of the currency peg of Cape Verde (CV) by assessing the impact of economic … either a larger risk premium or favourable exchange rate movements. We take this to be a sign of the credibility of the peg …, which apparently reflects the intertemporal credibility of CV's economic policy and so has successfully withstood …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732953
The paper presents estimates of a model of the credibility of the U.K. commitment to its central parity against the … deutsche mark during the period of U.K. ERM membership (1990-92). The measure of credibility used is the long-term interest … differential with Germany. Credibility is decomposed into two aspects: an assessment of whether the government was truly committed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774281
different methods to study the credibility of the detected fluctuation bands. The detected lack of credibility in a high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022510
Recently proposals for introducing greater exchange rate fixity into the behavior of key exchange rates have become fashionable. One proposal, for example, suggests that a target zone arrangement for the dollar, mark and yen would represent a desirable reform of the international monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014154077
This paper provides some new evidence on the credibility of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary … use of several credibility indicators, some of which have never been applied before to all of the currencies under study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014125604
This paper studies the credibility of the Venezuela crawling-band exchange rate regime during the period July, 1996 … - February, 2002. We show that, introducing some modifications, the credibility analysis widely applied to target zone regimes … can also be used in studying the credibility of crawling-band regimes. In analyzing the credibility of the Venezuela …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053405