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This paper assesses the fiscal sustainability hypothesis for 10 Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC) between 1997 and 2019. The study adopts very recent panel econometric techniques which accounts for issues of structural breaks and cross-sectional dependence in the data generating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799226
This paper assesses the fiscal sustainability hypothesis for 10 Eastern and Central European countries (CEEC) between 1997 and 2019. The study adopts very recent panel econometric techniques which accounts for issues of structural breaks and cross-sectional dependence in the data generating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698675
The heightened interest of African countries to access international capital markets has put public debt sustainability once again high on the continent's policy agenda. Applying the ‘stabilizing primary balance approach' to sustainability shows that the primary balances exceeded those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078357
In this paper, we set out to examine an efficient fiscal-policy framework for a monetary union. We illustrate that fiscal policy's bias toward budget deficit only temporarily ceased at the end of the 20th century as European countries endeavored to qualify for euro-zone membership, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318404
The question of what is a sustainable public debt is paramount in the macroeconomic analysis of fiscal policy. This question is usually formulated as asking whether the outstanding public debt and its projected path are consistent with those of the government's revenues and expenditures (i.e....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015486
The paper argues that the promulgation of the Constitution of Kenya 2010, the enactment of the enabling domestic laws, and the medium-term debt management strategies prepared by the Kenyan Ministry of Finance has not helped much in terms of transforming the management of public debt in Kenya....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078968
The U.S. fiscal cliff has sparked renewed interest on the issue of fiscal sustainability. Using a time-varying parameter model with a longer data set (1916-2011), there is evidence that the response of primary surplus-income ratio to debt-GDP ratio shows (1) substantial variation over time, (2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078271
This paper introduces a Regime-Switching Model-Based Sustainability test allowing for periodic (or local) violations of Bohn (1998, QJE)'s sustainability condition. We assume a Markov-switching fiscal policy rule whose parameters stochastically switch between sustainable and unsustainable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830345
As a result of the recent financial crisis and the ensuing economic recession, fiscal deficits have soared in many OECD countries. As a consequence, government debt has been on the rise again after a period of stable or declining government debt. In this paper we analyze debt stabilization in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104019
The sustainability of the Nigerian fiscal deficit along with the role of the dynamics of government revenues and spending in adjusting the size of the deficit is examined using annual data from 1961 to 2014. After allowing for structural breaks, the study finds evidence of a cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011487675