We develop a theory to account for changes in prices of risky and safe assets and gross and net capital flows over the global financial cycle (GFC). The multi-country model features global risk-aversion shocks and heterogeneity of investors both within and across countries. Within-country...

We document that the correlation between capital inflows and outflows has increased substantially over time in a sample of 128 advanced and developing countries. We provide evidence that this is a result of an increase in financial globalization (stock of external assets and liabilities). This...

This working paper was written by J. Scott Davis (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas) and Eric Van Wincoop (University of Virginia and NBER).The correlation between capital inflows and outflows has increased substantially over time in a sample of 127 advanced and developing countries. We provide...