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The evolving impact of global, region-specific, and country-specific uncertainty
Mumtaz, Haroon; Musso, Alberto - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 39 (2021) 2, pp. 466-481
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499092
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The evolving impact of global, region-speci c and country-speci c uncertainty
Mumtazy, Haroon; Mussoz, Alberto - 2018
We develop a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility, estimate it with several … findings, the estimates suggest that global uncertainty plays a primary role in explaining the volatility of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904508
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The evolving impact of global, region-specific and country-specific uncertainty
Mumtaz, Haroon; Musso, Alberto - 2018
We build a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility and use it to decompose the … common global uncertainty plays a primary role in explaining the volatility of inflation, interest rates and stock prices …, although to a varying extent over time. Region-specific uncertainty drives most of the exchange rate volatility for all Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856363
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What has caused global business cycle decoupling : smaller shocks or reduced sensitivity?
Berger, Tino; Richter, Julia - 2017
According to a growing body of empirical literature, global shocks have become less important for business cycles in industrialized countries and emerging market economies since the mid-1980s. In this paper, we analyze the question of what might have caused a decoupling from the global business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584095
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Modeling time-variation over the business cycle (1960-2017) : an international perspective
Martínez-García, Enrique - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 22 (2018) 5, pp. 1-25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966119
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Global financial cycles since 1880
Potjagailo, Galina; Wolters, Maik H. - 2019
We analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, we analyze the dynamics of co-movement at different levels of aggregation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987786
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Global financial cycles since 1880
Potjagailo, Galina; Wolters, Maik H. - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012534353
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Global financial cycles since 1880
Potjagailo, Galina; Wolters, Maik H. - 2019
The authors analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, they analyze the dynamics of co-movement and compare recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992406
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Global financial cycles since 1880
Potjagailo, Galina; Wolters, Maik H. - In: Journal of international money and finance 131 (2023), pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014248868
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Identification of global and national shocks in international financial markets via general dynamic factor models
Barigozzi, Matteo; Hallin, Marc; Soccorsi, Stefano - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011673310