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This paper presents new evidence on international financial market integration using stock analyst earnings forecasts from around the world. By examining cash flow and discount rate news comovements, we find that financial and economic integration has diverged over time as financial integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134449
We evaluate the performance of inflation forecasts based on the open-economy Phillips curve by exploiting the spatial pattern of international propagation of inflation. We model these spatial linkages using global inflation and either domestic slack or oil price fluctuations, motivated by a...
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This paper evaluates different methods for nowcasting country-level poverty rates, including methods that apply statistical learning to large-scale country-level data obtained from the World Development Indicators and Google Earth Engine. The methods are evaluated by withholding measured poverty...
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