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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013184292
soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to …Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … developments, the risk of stagflation-a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth-has risen. The recovery from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256317
We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the … near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR …) model. We report three main results. First, the decline in global inflation during the 2020 global recession was the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584054
1850-1913. We find that consumer price inflation in all 15 countries co-moves with a broad measure of changes in commodity … which international business cycle movements affect inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012662476
treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates … role for all the inflation measures, although globalization has caused some “flattening” of this relationship, especially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
We study the extent of global inflation synchronization using a dynamic factor model in a large set of countries over a … emerging market and developing economies) and to analyze commonalities in inflation synchronization across a wide range of … inflation measures. We report three major results. First, inflation movements have become increasingly synchronized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980916
markets now expect is not enough to reduce inflation to targets, experience from previous global recessions suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013383374
identified two groups of upper regime and lower regime world variables-namely, world inflation, world GDP, and world commodity … studied. This research aims to investigate the interdependent relationships between world GDP, world commodity prices, world … inflation, trade flows, capital inflow, capital account transactions, reserve accumulation, global liquidity (e.g., global broad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799838
A number of studies document the prominent role of global factors in domestic inflation developments (e.g. Borio and … Filardo, 2007; Ciccarelli and Mojon, 2010). In this paper we investigate global dimensions of advanced economy inflation. We … inflation expectations and augment Phillips curves with global factors including global economic slack, global inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984217
-based disinflation around the world over the past half-century, with global consumer price inflation down from a peak of roughly 17 …This paper introduces a global database that contains inflation series: (i) for a wide range of inflation measures … (headline, food, energy, and core consumer price inflation; producer price inflation; and gross domestic product deflator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584053