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This paper employs a panel logistic regression to evaluate the role of global and domestic risk factors in explaining sovereign tail risk for 18 emerging economies (EMEs). Sovereign tail risk is defined as the likelihood of a sharp rise in sovereign credit risk. We find that both global and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010728
Using data for a large number of advanced and emerging market economies during 1982-2009, this paper examines the distinct impact of financial integration and globalization on several dimensions of real activity. We find that: (a) financial integration has progressed significantly worldwide,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009490605
In this paper I show that both aspects of financial development, namely liberalisation and deepening, and financial internationalisation proxied using cross listings in the U.S. creates value for emerging market firms. Financial deepening, or more precisely, stock market deepening enhances...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131660
Financial globalization, defined as global linkages through cross-border financial flows, has become increasingly relevant for emerging markets as they integrate financially with the rest of the world. This paper argues that, because of the way it is often measured, it has also led to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068213
We study a pricing model for global and local sources of risk in six Eastern European emerging stock markets. Utilizing GMM estimation and an unconditional asset-pricing framework with and without time-varying betas, we perform estimations based on monthly data from 1996 to 2007 for Poland, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156114
Given the dramatic globalization over the past twenty years, does it make sense to segregate global equities into “developed” and “emerging” market buckets? We argue that the answer is still yes. While correlations between developed and emerging markets have increased, the process of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973844
Given the dramatic globalization over the past twenty years, does it make sense to segregate global equities into “developed” and “emerging” market buckets? We argue that the answer is still yes. While correlations between developed and emerging markets have increased, the process of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051425
We provide a comprehensive analysis of the impact of economic and financial globalization on asset return comovements over the past 35 years. Our globalization indicators draw a distinction between de jure openness that results from changes in the regulatory environment and de facto or realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984374
The paper shows that US monetary policy has been an important determinant of global equity markets. Analysing 50 equity markets worldwide, we find that returns fall on average around 3.8% in response to a 100 basis point tightening of US monetary policy, ranging from a zero response in some to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317648
My thesis, in a nutshell, is this: the Asian financial crisis has revealed some deep fault lines in our international economy, and for years to come we shall look back on it as a turning point in economic history. The crisis will have repercussions far into the new century, especially in three areas
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124956