This paper constructs a global tail risk (GTR) index and examines the role of GTR in predicting the volatility of … international stock markets. Our empirical results emphasize that GTR contains valuable information to predict the stock volatility … improve the forecasting accuracy of international stock market volatility, especially considering the time-varying regime …

I estimate the transmission of large global volatility shocks in international equity markets from the earlier (pre … significant increases in unanticipated volatility in US equity markets, which I relate to well-known historical events. My …