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We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR) model. We report three main results. First, the decline...
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fossil fuels (e.g. starting with coal in the UK in the 17th century, and continuing in the rest of the world with coal and … to the phase of the transition in which revolutions have occurred, and the impact this shock had on the further course of … economies in the early 1970s, in association with the first and second oil price shocks. In practically all mature industrial …
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We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...
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In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR … model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends … trends captured by the food and metals factors. - Oil price ; Commodity prices ; Exchange rates ; Globalisation ; FAVAR …
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In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR … model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146204