near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR …We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the …) model. We report three main results. First, the decline in global inflation during the 2020 global recession was the most …

Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to … developments, the risk of stagflation-a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth-has risen. The recovery from the …

investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether … there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due to globalization-driven changes in the national economic structure. A … FAVAR framework is applied to derive structural shocks on a worldwide level and their impact on other global and also …

factors from trade-related spillovers, and identify the Covid-19 shock using GDP growth forecast revisions of the IMF in 2020Q … observations. Our results show that the Covid-19 pandemic will lead to a significant fall in world output that is most likely long …