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We analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, we analyze the dynamics of co-movement at different levels of aggregation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987786
We study the relation between US inflation and the performance of global asset classes (including bonds, stocks, industry portfolios, factor premiums, commodities, and REITs), both over a long sample period (1927–2020) and over the most recent 30 years (1991–2020). We find that most assets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219638
This paper studies the long-term effect of international trade and financial linkages on the rise in stock return comovements. Our sample covers 47 advanced and emerging markets from 1973 to 2018. We use dynamic panel models that are appropriate for estimating long-term relationships in macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210771
The authors analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, they analyze the dynamics of co-movement and compare recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992406
We explore the link between international stock market comovement and the degree to which firms operate globally. Using stock returns and balance sheet data for companies in 20 countries, we estimate a factor model that decomposes stock returns into global, country-specific and industry-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991324
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438457
With the aim to provide a detailed understanding of global financial cycles and their relevance over time, we analyse co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and interest rates across 17 advanced economies over 130 years. Using a time-varying dynamic factor model, we observe global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832636
This paper studies the global, regional, and country-specific components of four key financial market indicators: sovereign CDS spreads, equity indices, exchange rates, and EMBI Global bond spreads. In all four markets, the results support the findings of the literature of a significant global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013886
This paper will propose a plan to reform international finance – the World Financial Authority (WFA) Plan. Under such a … effective, regaining traction and preventing contagion. A central instrument to this end is the creation of the World Financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095450
Using data for a large number of advanced and emerging market economies during 1982-2009, this paper examines the distinct impact of financial integration and globalization on several dimensions of real activity. We find that: financial integration has progressed significantly worldwide,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091562