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This paper estimates global bad and good uncertainties from monthly data on industrial production from a large set of countries. Bad and good uncertainties have opposite effects on macro aggregates and stock returns. An increase in bad uncertainty adversely impacts both, while an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000053
for each country, and investigates the spillover effects on the country-level stock market idiosyncratic volatility across … on the country-level stock market idiosyncratic volatility. We find that that the effect of developed … idiosyncratic volatility continues when we utilize various economic, financial, and political risk factors as controls, as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406077
Innovations in volatility constitute a potentially important asset pricing risk factor that can be tested using the … world to U.S. based equity variance risk. We explore implications for global risk premiums and asset return comovements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848035
Dynamics of credit markets impact almost all participants in financial markets. Yet, despite rapidly growing international credit markets, we know little about the dynamics of global credit markets, as most studies focus on the US. Here, I propose a new distance-to-default model, empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848955
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475979
The recovery in private business investment globally remains extremely weak more than seven years after the financial crisis. This paper contributes to the ongoing policy debate on the factors behind this weakness by analyzing the role of growth prospects and uncertainty in explaining...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422052
, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474806
real effects resulting from a more efficient resource allocation predicted by theory. We find that: (a) financial … financial integration and globalization predict higher growth, lower growth volatility, as well as lower probabilities of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144840
This article examines the relationship between aggregate earnings and returns (ERC) in a global context. We examine a broad international sample of countries which encompass markets with different levels of stock market development, shareholder protection and legal origin. Recent literature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128405
The global multi-asset market portfolio contains important information for strategic asset-allocation purposes. First, it shows the relative value of all asset classes according to the global financial investment community, which one could interpret as a natural benchmark for financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062242