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This paper proposes two dimension-reduction and forecasting quantile methods (i.e., the quantile group lasso and the quantile group SCAD models) to predict carbon futures returns and investigate the predictability of a comprehensive group of factors including market fundamental variables and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865894
This paper proposes a Markov regime switching framework for modeling carbon emission (CO2) allowances that combines a regime switching behavior and disequilibrium adjustments in the mean process, along with a state-dependent dynamic volatility process. We find that all regime switching based...
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This paper studies the impact of the April allowance submissions mandate under the European Union emission trading scheme (EU ETS) in carbon emission markets. Using intraday order flow data, we test for the cross-market efficiency of spot-futures dynamics and find that the equilibrium level,...
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This paper is designed to provide comprehensive details on the carbon markets across the major Asian economies and with specific attention to the Chinese carbon market. We particularly discuss the carbon markets across the major northeast (the People's Republic of China [PRC], Japan, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059321
In recent times, the People's Republic of China (PRC) has faced significant challenges in terms of managing its environment and moving forward with the concept of sustainable economic development. The environmental challenges concern the increasing consumption of fossil fuel energy, which has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132093
We premise and model the dynamic interdependence between energy and carbon prices in Phase III of the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) in a heterogeneous impulse-response setting. Our research framework is based on the proposition that energy prices (e.g., oil, natural gas, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848126