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Despite the centrality of the theoretical relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rates differential in open economy macroeconomics, its empirical evidence, particularly when cointegration methods are used, is rather mixed. The study uses IFS, IMF data for India and US for the...
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We investigate the Expectations Hypotheses of the term structure of interest rates and of the foreign exchange market using vector autoregressive methods for the U.S. dollar, Deutsche mark, and British pound interest rates and exchange rates. In addition to standard Wald tests, we formulate...
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We investigate the Expectations Hypotheses of the term structure of interest rates and of the foreign exchange market using vector autoregressive methods for the U.S. dollar, Deutsche mark, and British pound interest rates and exchange rates. In addition to standard Wald tests, we formulate...
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structure reflects changing expectations of future yields and inflation. This analysis shows that the presence of time … less than five years. By contrast, variations in inflation expected over the next two to three years are very accurately … term structures closely track changing expectations regarding future nominal and real yields but not future inflation …
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