Cover -- Title -- Copyright -- Contents -- List of Figures and Tables -- List of Contributors -- Introduction Counter-Shock and Counter-Revolution -- Part I: Oil Prices in Context -- 1. Price Regimes, Price Series and Price Trends: Oil Shocks and Counter-Shocks in Historical Perspective -- 2....

This paper is concerned with ex ante and ex post counterfactual analyses in the case of macroeconometric applications where a single unit is observed before and after a given policy intervention. It distinguishes between cases where the policy change affects the model's parameters and where it...

This paper is concerned with ex ante and ex post counterfactual analyses in the case of macroeconometric applications where a single unit is observed before and after a given policy intervention. It distinguishes between cases where the policy change affects the model's parameters and where it...