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This paper proposes an ESTAR modeling framework to analyze the anchoring of inflation expectations. Anchoring criteria are empirical estimates of a market implied inflation target as well as the strength of the anchor that holds expectations at the target. Results from daily financial market...
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This paper documents that rotation group bias - the tendency for labor force statistics to vary systematically by month … groups; both should be nationally representative samples. The rise in rotation group bias is driven by a growing tendency for … bias. We find that rotation group bias increased discretely after the 1994 CPS redesign and that rising nonresponse is …
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