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Time-varying betas of sectoral returns to market returns and exchange rate movements

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The forward premium puzzle and latent factors day by day

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The forward premium puzzle and latent factors day by day

Bernoth, Kerstin; Hagen, Jürgen von; Vries, Casper G. de - 2010

We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...