a beneficial impact on RPIX inflation over the last few years. We show that deviations of unemployment from the short …This paper derives alternative measures of the short-run NAIRU (SRN) for the UK, the rate for unemployment at which … inflation will neither increase nor decrease in the short-run. We estimate the NAIRU jointly with price equations by using the …

sensitivity of inflation to unemployment rate changes. Improvement in fit from just including the online share is tiny—so far …During the recovery from the Great Recession, inflation did not reach the central bank's 2 percent objective as quickly … contestable and damped retail inflation. This hypothesis is tested using data on the online share of retail sales, which are …

Central bankers are raising interest rates on the assumption that wage-push inflation may lead to stagflation. This is … not the case. Although unemployment is low, the labor market is not 'tight'. On the contrary, we show that what matters …

alternative monetary rules on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We use the inflation forecasts of 8 competing …This paper explores the role that inflation forecasts play in the uncertainty surrounding the estimated effects of … relative to the different inflation models under two rules. The results suggest that model uncertainty can be a serious issue …

The relationship between wages, prices, productivity, inflation, and unemployment in Italy, Poland, and the UK between …

Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …

Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …

find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has … below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 …

unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years …

The response of US inflation to the high levels of spare capacity during the Great Recession of 2007-09 was rather … muted. At the same time, it has been argued that the short-term unemployment gap has a more prominent role in determining … inflation, and either the closing of this gap or non-linearities in the Phillips curve could lead to a sudden pick-up in …