Using UK unit trusts data, we analyse the interplay among fund performance, flow changes, portfolio characteristics and managerial replacement. We find that managers with superior performance that is due to sample variation are more likely to be dismissed than are ‘unlucky' managers indicating...

The importance of asset allocation decisions in wealth management is well established. However, given its importance it is perhaps surprising that so little attention has been paid to the question of whether professional fund managers are skillful at timing market movement across asset classes...