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We present theory and evidence that challenges the view that forward premia contain little information regarding subsequent spot rate movements. Using weekly dollar-mark and dollar sterling data, we find that spot and forward exchange rates together are well represented by a vector error...
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We present theory and evidence that challenges the view that forward premia contain little information regarding subsequent spot rate movements. Using weekly dollar-mark and dollar sterling data, we find that spot and forward exchange rates together are well represented by a vector error...
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This paper uses a measure of the relative price of out-of-the-money (OTM) European put and call currency options to … day-to-day volatility of currency prices that should be driven by slow-moving macro fundamentals …
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