This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...

News media plays an important role in modern financial markets. In this paper, we analyse the role played by the news media in an historical financial market. Using The Times's coverage of companies listed on the London stock market between 1825 and 1870, we examine the determinants of media...

This paper investigates whether long-term contrarian performance on the UK market is driven by low-priced stocks. We find that contrarian performance at low, middle, low price levels is positive. On the Fama-French risk adjusted basis, we find both low-priced and middle-priced losers have...

Since their discovery, many calendar anomalies experienced different types of changes. This paper explores the possibility of enlargement of the time interval specific to the January Effect on London Stock Exchange. We investigate the abnormal returns presence on an extended time interval that...