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-shock on long-term unemployment. Our findings suggest that there is hysteresis in both countries, and that it happens through …This paper uses data for the UK and the Netherlands (1983q4-2011q4) to test if hysteresis occurs in these economics …, and through what mechanisms. The novelty of the paper resides in the use of a VAR-IRF that encompasses previous hysteresis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002619
This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional … suggest that the UK unemployment may be explained in terms of lagged values of the real oil prices and the real interest rate …, with the order of integration of unemployment ranging between 0.50 and 1. Thus, unemployment shows the characteristics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582384
unemployment and maximum employment approaches; and the unfilled vacancies perspective. Furthermore, we provide and discuss …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014541848
We used a recursive modeling approach to study whether investors could, in real time, have used information on the comovement of stock markets to forecast stock returns in European stock markets for high-technology firms. We used weekly data on returns in the Neuer Markt, the Nouveau Marché,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260542
There is a wide literature on the dynamic adjustment of employment and its relationship with the business cycle. Our aim is to propose a statistical model that offers a congruent representation of post-war UK labour market. We use a cointegrated vector autoregressive Markov-switching model where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014133300
The relationship between wages, prices, productivity, inflation, and unemployment in Italy, Poland, and the UK between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014201759
dynamic simulations that account for the swings of the unemployment rates before and after the 2007 crisis. Our results … productivity, and demographics, succeed in explaining a great part of the changes in unemployment in both countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725373
We analyse the determinants of unemployment persistence in four OECDcountries byestimating a structural Bayesian VAR … with an informative priorbased on an insiders/outsiders model. We explicitly insert unemployment ben-efits and labour taxes … so that our identification is not affected by the Faust andLeeper (1997) critique. We find widespread hysteresis: demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327831
century of UK and USA unemployment data. For both the countries we see a period conforming to hysteresis starting in the early …A novel procedure is applied to test for switches between hysteresis and the natural rate theory over more than a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979965
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our … standard limit distribution. The empirical results suggest that the US unemployment rate can be specified in terms of a … real interest rates). We also find evidence of a long-memory component. Our results are consistent with a hysteresis model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073645