bias in the UK, nor for Italy prior to the introduction of the Euro. Since January 2002, however, the inflation rate in …

This paper studies factors behind inflation dynamics in the euro area, the UK and the US. It introduces a factor … inflation in the three economies. The FAVAR model framework is also applied to study the effects on inflation subcomponents in … the more recent past. The FAVAR models suggest that headline inflation in the three economies has reacted in a relatively …

After a long period of price stability, inflation returned to record levels in many parts of the world economy. This … and can explain roughly 75 percent of the inflation experience. Supply side shocks like bottlenecks in global value chains … account for the remaining 25 percent of the variance of inflation forecast errors. In the euro area, the shocks are balanced …

This study combines novel financial-literacy data with measures of attitudes to redistribution from the British … intervention for income redistribution. The effect is robust to several specifications, samples, longitudinal models and … effect indicates that the homo oeconomicus effect does not exert an impact on attitudes to redistribution for the less …

We develop a time-varying transition probabilities Markov Switching model in which inflation is characterised by two … regimes (high and low inflation). Using Bayesian techniques, we apply the model to the euro area, Germany, the US, the UK and … switches between inflation regimes. Thus money growth provides an important early warning indicator for risks to price …

This study analyzes the question whether gold provides the ability of hedging against inflation from a new perspective …: First, we show that gold is partially able to hedge future inflation in the long-run and this ability is stronger for the … characterized by regime-dependence, implying that the usefulness of gold as an inflation hedge for investors crucially depends on …

We develop a time-varying transition probabilities Markov Switching model in which inflation is characterised by two … regimes (high and low inflation). Using Bayesian techniques, we apply the model to the euro area, Germany, the US, the UK and … switches between inflation regimes. Thus money growth provides an important early warning indicator for risks to price …

We jointly estimate the natural rate of interest, the natural rate of unemployment, expected inflation, and potential …-variation in (i) the data-generation process for inflation, which we capture via a time-varying parameters specification for the … Phillips curve portion of the model; and (ii) the volatilities of disturbances to inflation and cyclical(log) output, which we …