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This paper compares the effectiveness of date- and state-based forward guidance issued by the Federal Reserve since mid-2011 accounting for the influence of disagreement within the FOMC. Effectiveness is investigated through the lens of interest rates’ sensitivity to macroeconomic news and I...
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It has been a long debate whether Fed Funds target interest rate (FFTR) has significant explanatory power on interest rates in other countries. In this paper, we analyze the effects of FFTR on Bank of England (BOE) bank rate and European Central Bank (ECB) key interest rate employing - the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014208847
I provide empirical evidence that Fed officials use their speeches to guide short-term interest rate expectations. Measures of misalignment between market and central bankers' expectations predict tone in speeches about monetary policy and that central bankers mention market expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898044
A monetary economy comprises a vast array of market-clearing interest rates. Central banks exert a direct influence over only a narrow subset of these rates: the rate at which they supply marginal funds to the commercial banking system. Accordingly, the market interest rates which impinge upon...
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To assess the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee decisions about the Official Bank Rate under forecast … uncertainty, I estimate simple forecast-based interest rate rules augmented by the forecast standard deviations recovered directly … for inflation from target in order to pursue the inflation target. Forecast inflation uncertainty has a strongly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991058
To assess the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee decisions on the official bank rate under forecast … uncertainty, I estimate simple forecast-based interest rate rules augmented by the exact forecast standard deviations recovered … directly from the Inflation Report fan charts. I find that forecast inflation uncertainty strongly intensifies the reaction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019023