Meyer, Josefin; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Trebesch, Christoph - 2019
foreign-currency government bonds traded in London and New York between 1815 (the Battle of Waterloo) and 2016, covering 91 … to compensate for risk. Real ex-post returns averaged 7% annually across two centuries, including default episodes, major … and with the degree of credit risk in this market, as measured by historical default and recovery rates. Based on our …