This paper studies the effect of unemployment benefits on the unemployment and subsequent employment duration using … heterogeneity. We find that recipients, relative to non-recipients, face lower exit rates from unemployment, while an additional … month in unemployment increases their subsequent employment stability. This positive correlation between previous …

not the case. Although unemployment is low, the labor market is not 'tight'. On the contrary, we show that what matters …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …

its successor Understanding Society. We find that the unemployment rate on leaving full-time education has large impacts …

This paper provides revealed-preference estimates of the monetary value of avoiding job search in a high-unemployment … home-state unemployment rate. Comparing these estimates to realized losses in post-service civilian earnings resulting from … exiting the military during times of high unemployment suggests that mitigating factors (e.g., leisure, private and public …