This paper examines the association between option-implied interest rate distributions and macroeconomic expectations in the context of a forward-looking monetary policy rule. We presume that market participants view the policy rule as a guide to the path of future policy rates and price...

We aim to analyze empirically the long-run interest rate spillovers on the monetary policy of European countries outside the EMU. The analysis covered years from October 1998 to December 2021 and was based on the VEC model and UIP parity, which allowed us to check the potential cointegration of...