The cyclical behaviour of prices in the U.K. is investigated using a sample of annual observations covering the period 1886 1993. A structural time series model relating consumer prices to output is estimated over four sub-periods. The results indicate that prices were procyclical in the...

We study the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on the long-run stock market variances and correlations, primarily for the US and the UK. We find that US EPU shocks affect both US and UK stock market long-run variances and correlation, but UK EPU shocks only affect its own...

We examine the link between financial market illiquidity and macroeconomic dynamics by fitting a Bayesian time-varying parameter VAR with stochastic volatility to UK data from 1988Q1 to 2016Q4. We capture liquidity conditions in the stock market using a battery of illiquidity proxies. This paper...

This paper uses a data-rich environment to produce direct econometric estimates of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty in the United Kingdom for the period 1991-2016. These indices exhibit significant independent variation from popular proxies for macroeconomic and financial uncertainty. We...