Analyzing inflation as a change in the value of a currency, rather than changes in prices of goods and services …, provides perspective on three fundamental sources of inflation.A Money Value Formula produces a significant statistical fit … with forward long-term inflation rates using long lags of monetary aggregates with inflation variability due almost …

Market-based measures of inflation expectations can be derived either from the difference between yields on nominal and … inflation-linked government bonds or from inflation swap rates. These measures are important indicators of the outlook for … inflation and are monitored regularly by the United Kingdom's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), alongside other measures of …

This paper seeks to clarify the ways in which inflation targeting corresponds to a policy rule conceptually, and to … assess the extent to which inflation targeters' policy can be described by policy rules in practice. Using central banks …' inflation and output forecasts, the empirical analysis shows that simple forward-looking instrument rules provide a reasonably …

importance of modelling a system that includes the forcing variables as well as the rate of inflation is emphasized. We also …

This paper studies factors behind inflation dynamics in the euro area, the UK and the US. It introduces a factor … inflation in the three economies. The FAVAR model framework is also applied to study the effects on inflation subcomponents in … the more recent past. The FAVAR models suggest that headline inflation in the three economies has reacted in a relatively …

This paper analyzes the performance of central banks in 27 inflation targeting countries by examining their success in … achieving their explicit inflation targets. For this purpose, we decompose the inflation gap, the difference between actual … inflation and inflation target, into predictable and unpredictable components. We argue that the central banks are successful if …

We argue that the Great Inflation experienced by both the United Kingdom and the United States in the 1970s has an … common doctrine underlying the systematic monetary policy choices in each country. The nonmonetary approach to inflation …

This paper argues that the inflation targeting regime prevailing in the United Kingdom is not the result of a change in …. Instead, the crucial underpinning of U.K. inflation targeting has been an overhaul of doctrine - a changed view of the … inflation dynamics. Contrary to conventional wisdom, changing views on the expected-inflation term in the Phillips curve do not …

structure reflects changing expectations of future yields and inflation. This analysis shows that the presence of time … less than five years. By contrast, variations in inflation expected over the next two to three years are very accurately … term structures closely track changing expectations regarding future nominal and real yields but not future inflation …

fiscal stance and inflation using cross-country data from 1965 to 1999. In a first step, we contrast the monetary … that the low-frequency relationship between the fiscal stance and inflation is low during periods of an independent central … illustrate the mechanisms through which fiscal actions affect inflation in the long run. The findings from the DSGE model suggest …